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Red19
371123.9
36737.8
24113.1
Blue39
413214.0
99714.9
252124.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303020253540451939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.0
19.218.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 0.5
24.40.6
17.618.2
Auto0.4
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
3673
#25
7.81.0
8.77.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
997
#13
14.90.6
9.910.6
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
2411
#30
3.11.0
3.32.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0
blue by 10.9
4132
#12
14.00.6
3.94.5
Auto0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0