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Red52
25179.5
46626.8
405720.0
Blue69
46927.8
31928.8
247131.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2136060801001201405269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.02.8
12.415.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 11.4
31.42.8
21.324.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
2517
#23
9.52.8
8.511.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
3192
#24
8.82.8
8.311.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
Third
4662
#28
6.82.8
3.76.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4692
#18
7.82.8
5.78.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0