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Red22
381217.7
75312.0
405116.2
Blue18
302412.6
281111.0
151012.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3624060801001201402218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3812
#11
17.70.6
15.815.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 5.1
3024
#20
12.60.7
8.17.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
4051
#10
16.20.6
9.48.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
1510
#27
12.50.7
8.37.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
753
#21
12.00.6
9.99.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 1.0
2811
#22
11.00.7
10.29.5
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0