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Red36
75312.0
25179.5
247131.4
Blue2
273316.1
24113.1
46927.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3729050100150362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.1
19.119.0
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 15.3
2733
#16
16.12.4
12.910.5
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Second
753
#21
12.00.1
8.38.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
4692
#18
7.82.4
7.44.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
Third
2517
#23
9.50.1
9.89.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
red by 6.4
2411
#30
3.12.4
10.98.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0