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Red22
154021.5
546823.2
413214.0
Blue0
31318.3
302412.6
46626.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3728050100150220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.220.3
27.67.3
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 10.6
3024
#20
12.62.6
9.87.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
1540
#19
21.51.2
19.618.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
3131
#26
8.32.6
11.79.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
4132
#12
14.01.2
8.67.4
Auto0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
4662
#28
6.82.6
9.36.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0