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Red16
381217.7
99714.9
95621.2
Blue0
263525.1
36748.1
281111.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45380100150160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
#8
21.22.0
15.113.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
25.10.9
12.511.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
3812
#11
17.72.0
17.615.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 6.7
2811
#22
11.00.9
15.114.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
997
#13
14.92.0
12.910.9
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
3674
#32
8.10.9
12.811.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0