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Red0
545012.5
413214.0
31318.3
Blue27
371123.9
405720.0
31928.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223606080100120140160027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4132
#12
14.01.6
7.45.8
Auto0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 10.0
23.90.3
14.614.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
5450
#14
12.510.1
17.06.9
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 7.5
4057
#9DQ
20.00.3
11.611.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
3131
#26
8.31.6
9.27.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3192
#24
8.80.3
9.09.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0