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Red16
255033.0
281111.0
46626.8
Blue6
273316.1
75312.0
36737.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32230406080100120140160166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.3
10.79.4
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 16.9
2733
#16
16.11.6
10.58.9
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Second
2811
#22
11.01.3
14.313.0
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
753
#21
12.01.6
8.26.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4662
#28
6.81.3
6.75.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3673
#25
7.81.6
6.95.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0