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Red15
36369.9
36737.8
36748.1
Blue2
154021.5
31928.8
95621.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253906080100120140152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#17
9.91.0
11.410.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 11.6
1540
#19
21.51.4
10.38.9
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3674
#32
8.11.0
10.69.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 13.1
956
#8
21.21.4
16.815.4
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
3673
#25
7.81.0
5.94.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3192
#24
8.81.4
10.99.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0