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Red65
247131.4
154021.5
151012.5
Blue148
448852.1
545012.5
255033.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308205010015020065148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.42.3
24.827.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 20.7
52.15.2
45.951.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
1540
#19
21.52.3
8.911.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 11.5
33.05.2
22.527.6
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
Third
1510
#27
12.52.3
5.47.7
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Level
5450
#14
12.55.2
8.413.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0