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Red84
371123.9
405116.2
99714.9
Blue91
281111.0
413214.0
247131.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454902060801001201408491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.2
21.824.0
Auto0.1
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 7.5
31.42.5
27.530.0
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
4051
#10
16.22.2
13.115.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 2.2
4132
#12
14.02.5
13.516.0
Auto0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
997
#13
14.92.2
12.514.7
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 3.9
2811
#22
11.02.5
8.911.4
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0