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Red17
405720.0
302412.6
46927.8
Blue64
255033.0
36369.9
381217.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365701001501764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.1
18.517.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 13.0
33.00.5
29.930.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
Second
3024
#20
12.61.1
11.410.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3812
#11
17.70.5
17.117.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4692
#18
7.81.1
10.69.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3636
#17
9.90.5
8.59.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0