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Red68
46626.8
154021.5
545012.5
Blue52
75312.0
95621.2
24113.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260204060801001201406852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#19
21.52.2
13.515.7
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 0.3
956
#8
21.21.5
18.019.5
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
5450
#14
12.52.2
12.314.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 0.6
753
#21
12.01.5
9.310.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4662
#28
6.82.2
6.08.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
2411
#30
3.11.5
0.82.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0