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Red173
95550.1
198379.9
84723.6
Blue51
302417.4
405724.2
545017.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15639010020025030017351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.6
76.477.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 55.6
4057
#13
24.20.1
24.324.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
955
#2
50.10.6
46.747.3
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 32.7
3024
#18
17.40.1
17.517.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
847
#14
23.60.6
20.220.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 6.6
5450
#21
17.00.1
17.117.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0