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Red182
95550.1
198379.9
84723.6
Blue70
151025.8
219226.4
95714.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16048010020025030018270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.6
78.078.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 53.4
26.40.0
26.726.8
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
955
#2
50.10.6
48.248.8
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 24.3
25.80.0
26.126.2
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
847
#14
23.60.6
21.822.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 9.5
957
#31
14.10.0
14.414.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0