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Red66
252130.8
95629.4
291517.6
Blue119
99723.6
19030.5
508521.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776820406010012014016066119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#11
30.80.2
31.030.8
Auto0.3
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 0.3
190
#10
30.50.8
29.230.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
956
#7
29.40.2
29.629.4
Auto0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 5.7
997
#16
23.60.8
22.323.1
Auto0.6
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
2915
#22
17.60.2
17.817.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
5085
#15
21.60.8
20.321.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0