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Red4
251711.6
99723.6
469212.6
Blue26
237418.9
405724.2
20939.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490100150426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#16
23.61.4
14.913.5
Auto0.6
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4057
#13
24.21.1
20.018.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
4692
#23
12.61.4
7.86.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2374
#25
18.91.1
17.516.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
2517
#29
11.61.4
9.58.1
Auto0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
2093
#26
9.11.1
9.78.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0