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Red31
219226.4
319214.0
135922.1
Blue52
404314.6
519812.1
255052.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325901001502003152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.3
15.915.6
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 26.0
52.40.7
33.033.6
Auto0.0
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
1359
#12
22.10.3
12.312.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 7.6
4043
#28
14.60.7
14.214.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
3192
#19
14.00.3
8.88.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
5198
#24
12.10.7
9.410.0
Auto0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0