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Red67
143210.4
412723.0
281129.6
Blue55
291517.6
200226.8
545017.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543502060801001206755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.7
18.018.7
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
26.80.8
9.310.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
4127
#20
23.00.7
22.022.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
2915
#22
17.60.8
17.718.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
1432
#30
10.40.7
13.113.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5450
#21
17.00.8
12.513.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0