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Red117
299041.6
411014.7
95629.4
Blue172
302417.4
252130.8
95550.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554204080100120140117172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.63.1
22.926.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
blue by 8.5
955
#2
50.15.7
21.627.2
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
956
#7
29.43.1
21.224.3
Auto0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2521
#11
30.85.7
24.430.1
Auto0.3
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
4110
#17
14.73.1
10.513.6
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 2.7
3024
#18
17.45.7
12.618.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0