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Red94
99723.6
299041.6
151025.8
Blue56
545017.0
281129.6
508521.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674401001509456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.4
27.629.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 12.0
29.61.0
23.524.5
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
25.81.4
25.526.9
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
5085
#15
21.61.0
13.414.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
997
#16
23.61.4
13.114.5
Auto0.6
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
5450
#21Sur
17.01.0
12.113.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0