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Red29
20939.1
404314.6
84723.6
Blue103
95629.4
95550.1
200226.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366505010015020025029103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#14
23.60.6
17.016.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 26.5
955
#2
50.12.3
27.830.1
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
4043
#28
14.60.6
16.015.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 14.8
956
#7
29.42.3
22.925.3
Auto0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
2093
#26
9.10.6
8.57.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 17.7
26.82.3
11.914.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0