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Red51
291517.6
519812.1
411014.7
Blue136
198379.9
255052.4
469212.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912005010015020025051136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2915
#22
17.60.3
19.720.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 62.3
79.91.3
67.869.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
Second
4110
#17
14.70.3
13.714.0
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 37.8
52.41.3
35.236.5
Auto0.0
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
5198
#24
12.10.3
11.211.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4692
#23
12.61.3
6.88.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0