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Red115
95550.1
19030.5
95714.1
Blue96
143210.4
319214.0
198379.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649605015020025030011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#2
50.12.2
33.735.9
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
blue by 29.8
79.90.1
69.969.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
Second
190
#10
30.52.2
27.930.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 16.5
3192
#19
14.00.1
10.110.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
957
#31
14.12.2
9.511.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
1432
#30
10.40.1
14.514.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0