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Red58
251711.6
545017.0
135922.1
Blue109
519812.1
469212.6
200226.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636020608010058109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
#12
22.11.1
16.217.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
26.83.5
16.720.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
5450
#21
17.01.1
12.313.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
4692
#23
12.63.5
7.611.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2517
#29
11.61.1
7.18.2
Auto0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5198
#24
12.13.5
15.018.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0