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Red64
54978.7
237418.9
95629.4
Blue182
508521.6
299041.6
255052.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368805010015020025064182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
#7
29.40.9
23.824.7
Auto0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 23.1
52.45.0
36.641.5
Auto0.0
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
2374
#25
18.90.9
18.719.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 22.8
41.65.0
28.333.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Third
5497
#27
8.70.9
3.34.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 12.9
5085
#15
21.65.0
17.922.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0