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Red32
302417.4
404314.6
281129.6
Blue34
405724.2
151025.8
99723.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526601001502002503003503234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.2
27.426.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
25.81.6
27.726.1
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3024
#18
17.41.2
14.313.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
4057
#13
24.21.6
21.720.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
4043
#28
14.61.2
13.912.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 9.1
997
#16
23.61.6
16.314.7
Auto0.6
Teleop23.1
End0.0