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Red91
135922.1
20939.1
198379.9
Blue42
219226.4
508521.6
95714.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1004801502009142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.1
69.970.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 53.4
26.40.8
23.622.8
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
1359
#12
22.10.1
17.317.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 0.5
5085
#15
21.60.8
22.822.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
2093
#26
9.10.1
8.78.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 5.0
957
#31
14.10.8
11.710.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0