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Red110
299041.6
198379.9
405724.2
Blue112
95550.1
20939.1
281129.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137590100150200250110112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.91.0
71.170.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 29.8
955
#2
50.11.9
38.040.0
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
41.61.0
37.336.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 12.0
29.61.9
25.427.3
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
4057
#13
24.21.0
21.420.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 15.2
2093
#26
9.11.9
9.811.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0