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Red52
200226.8
508521.6
404314.6
Blue52
19030.5
291517.6
151025.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497701001502002503005252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.2
21.621.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
190
#10
30.51.2
28.727.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
5085
#15
21.60.2
20.320.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 4.2
25.81.2
26.124.9
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
4043
#28
14.60.2
13.513.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
2915
#22
17.61.2
20.319.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0