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Red26
219226.4
319214.0
404314.6
Blue54
54978.7
405724.2
508521.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51460204060801002654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.3
25.023.7
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
4057
#13
24.20.3
20.420.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
4043
#28
14.61.3
13.312.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
5085
#15
21.60.3
20.120.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
3192
#19
14.01.3
13.612.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 5.3
5497
#27
8.70.3
7.67.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0