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Red148
200226.8
198379.9
302417.4
Blue45
237418.9
411014.7
151025.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11445010015020025014845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.92.0
70.172.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 54.0
25.80.6
24.924.3
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
26.82.0
21.523.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 7.9
2374
#25
18.90.6
19.618.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
3024
#18
17.42.0
15.717.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
4110
#17
14.70.6
13.412.8
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0