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Red23
291517.6
412723.0
469212.6
Blue16
219226.4
251711.6
20939.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5439020801001201402316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4127
#20
23.01.5
21.419.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
26.41.0
23.722.7
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
2915
#22
17.61.5
19.217.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 5.9
2517
#29
11.61.0
7.56.4
Auto0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
4692
#23
12.61.5
13.411.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 3.5
2093
#26
9.11.0
11.710.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0