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Red46
545017.0
319214.0
95714.1
Blue106
19030.5
255052.4
95629.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2311105015020025046106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5450
#21
17.00.4
14.014.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 35.4
52.40.2
46.546.7
Auto0.0
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
957
#31
14.10.4
11.712.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 16.4
190
#10
30.50.2
27.527.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
3192
#19
14.00.4
12.312.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 15.3
956
#7
29.40.2
27.327.5
Auto0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0