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Red80
84723.6
99723.6
200226.8
Blue100
95550.1
54978.7
219226.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5670010015020025030035040080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.3
23.524.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 23.3
955
#2
50.11.5
40.041.5
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
997
#16
23.61.3
18.619.9
Auto0.6
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 2.8
26.41.5
22.724.2
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
847
#14
23.61.3
17.919.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 14.9
5497
#27
8.71.5
7.99.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0