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Red6
302417.4
54978.7
20939.1
Blue16
143210.4
545017.0
411014.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28410100200300400616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3024
#18
17.41.2
18.317.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 0.3
5450
#21
17.01.2
13.312.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
2093
#26
9.11.2
8.77.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4110
#17
14.71.2
13.612.3
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
5497
#27
8.71.2
3.92.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1432
#30
10.41.2
13.812.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0