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Red101
200226.8
219226.4
19030.5
Blue94
299041.6
291517.6
405724.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4265010015020010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#10
30.52.7
21.023.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 11.1
41.61.5
26.127.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
26.82.7
10.112.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 2.5
4057
#13
24.21.5
18.920.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
26.42.7
15.618.3
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 8.9
2915
#22
17.61.5
18.420.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0