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Red140
367426.3
263541.5
291517.7
Blue68
142522.5
247137.0
95715.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817120406010012014016018014068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.0
40.641.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 4.5
37.00.1
37.137.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
26.31.0
25.426.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 3.9
1425
#12
22.50.1
22.622.5
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
2915
#19
17.71.0
16.717.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
957
#23
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0