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Red68
299022.9
413222.8
466211.3
Blue44
241113.2
412722.0
404314.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554702040801001201406844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.2
22.422.6
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 1.0
22.00.1
22.122.0
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
22.80.2
22.322.5
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 8.6
4043
#20
14.20.1
14.314.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4662
#22
11.30.2
10.811.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
2411
#10
13.20.1
13.213.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0