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Red102
95521.6
357430.0
405112.8
Blue131
142522.5
247137.0
95715.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5969050100150102131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.7
29.430.0
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 6.9
37.01.0
35.336.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
955
#11
21.60.7
20.921.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
1425
#12
22.51.0
20.821.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
4051
#30
12.80.7
12.212.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 2.9
957
#23
15.71.0
14.015.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0