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Red64
95521.6
357430.0
405112.8
Blue29
154020.9
151020.5
546817.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59583040507080906429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
1540
#14
20.90.4
21.320.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
955
#11
21.60.0
20.520.5
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 1.1
20.50.4
20.920.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
4051
#30
12.80.0
11.711.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5468
#26
17.70.4
18.117.7
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0