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Red124
367426.3
263541.5
291517.7
Blue50
299022.9
413222.8
466211.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7951010015012450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.8
38.939.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 18.6
22.90.1
23.122.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
26.30.8
23.724.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 3.6
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
2915
#19
17.70.8
15.015.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
4662
#22
11.30.1
11.411.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0