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Red106
367426.3
263541.5
291517.7
Blue42
75315.8
273318.5
143213.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74410206010012014016010642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.6
36.837.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 23.0
18.50.1
18.618.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
26.30.6
21.622.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 10.5
753
#15
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
2915
#19
17.70.6
13.013.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
1432
#24
13.10.1
13.213.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0