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Red68
143213.1
299022.9
151020.5
Blue125
273318.5
263541.5
404314.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3255010015068125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.6
15.718.3
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 18.6
41.54.2
25.229.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
20.51.6
13.314.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 2.0
18.54.2
14.919.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
1432
#24
13.12.6
7.810.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4043
#20
14.24.2
12.917.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0