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Red4
411010.5
51989.4
412722.0
Blue6
237417.5
135912.3
31316.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3030010204050607046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.02.2
12.710.5
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
2374
#16
17.51.6
13.411.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
4110
#27
10.52.2
9.16.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
1359
#21
12.31.6
9.37.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5198
#31
9.42.2
8.66.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
3131
#28
6.51.0
9.18.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0