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Red23
95521.6
291517.7
15715.9
Blue51
273318.5
357430.0
412722.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314801001502002351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#11
21.61.0
19.918.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 8.5
30.00.3
17.317.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
2915
#19
17.71.0
7.46.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
22.00.3
10.510.8
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
1571
#32
5.90.6
7.46.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 12.6
18.50.2
19.119.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0