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Red64
75315.8
367426.3
363614.7
Blue37
154020.9
411010.5
84712.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28380501001502006437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.7
10.111.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 5.4
1540
#14
20.90.0
18.518.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
753
#15
15.81.7
13.014.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.4
847
#25
12.40.1
12.412.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
3636
#17
14.71.7
7.79.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
4110
#27
10.50.1
6.96.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0