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Red50
247137.0
237417.5
405112.8
Blue46
31316.5
357430.0
151020.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65300501001505046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.6
31.430.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 6.9
30.01.3
15.717.0
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
2374
#16
17.51.0
14.413.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
20.50.8
12.513.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
4051
#30
12.80.6
16.215.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 6.4
3131
#28
6.50.8
8.39.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0