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Red20
466211.3
412722.0
404314.2
Blue39
291517.7
54974.5
263541.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304301001502002039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.6
13.312.7
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 19.6
41.50.1
25.125.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
4043
#20
14.20.4
13.312.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2915
#19
17.70.2
8.89.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4662
#22
11.30.4
6.86.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 6.8
5497
#33
4.50.1
8.78.7
Auto0.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0