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Red28
405112.8
363614.7
84712.4
Blue33
546817.7
291517.7
20029.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33380501001502002833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#17
14.70.4
9.49.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5468
#26
17.70.3
21.621.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
4051
#30
12.80.4
13.613.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2915
#19
17.70.5
6.45.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
847
#25
12.40.6
12.311.7
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 3.1
2002
#29
9.30.5
10.610.1
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0